The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century [Read online]
World War III taking place in space. He predicts where and why future wars will erupt, and how they will be fought; which nations will gain and lose economic and political power; and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century.
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – But Some Don’t [Read online]
Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. Baseball, weather forecasting, earthquake prediction, economics, and polling: In all of these areas, Silver finds predictions gone bad thanks to biases, vested interests, and overconfidence.
The End of Growth: Adapting to Our New Economic Reality [Read online]
The End of Growth proposes a startling diagnosis: humanity has reached a fundamental turning point in its economic history. Written in an engaging, highly readable style, it shows why growth is being blocked by three factors: Resource depletion Environmental impacts Crushing levels of debt These converging limits will force us to re-evaluate cherished economic theories and to reinvent money and commerce. Richard Heinberg is the author of nine previous books, including The Party’s Over, Peak Everything, and Blackout.
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don’t [Read online]
” —New York Times Book Review “Nate Silver’sThe Signal and the Noiseis The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too.
Everything Is Obvious: Why Common Sense Is Nonsense [Read online]
Sociologist Duncan Watts explains in this provocative book that the explanations that we give for the outcomes that we observe in life – explanations that seem obvious once we know the answer – are less useful than they seem. Watts shows how commonsense reasoning and history conspire to mislead us into thinking that we understand more about the world of human behavior than we do; and in turn, why attempts to predict, manage, or manipulate social and economic systems so often go awry. Only by understanding how and when common sense fails can we improve how we plan for the future, as well as understand the present-an argument that has important implications in politics, business, marketing, and even everyday life.
What Makes a Great Exhibition? [Read online]
The new curatorial studies programmes springing up across Europe and North America often deal with theoretical issues, yet one of the central questions of curating frequently remains unframed: What makes an exhibition great. Focusing on the curation of contemporary art in North America and Europe, What Makes a Great Exhibition. What Makes a Great Exhibition.